Las Vegas – Commercial Short Sales: Monetary Sense
Headlines, Nevada Monday, July 12th, 2010
After the meltdown that so the US economy grind to a halt, it hardly seems likely that Tinsel Town would be first to sport a recovery in commercial real estate. However, give the dramatic markdowns of bank owned property and the prevalence of commercial shorts sales in Las Vegas, it may be time to begin the age old cyclical climb into economic prosperity. Las Vegas intrinsically relies on tourism and disposable income to fuel its economy, and when the economy is contracting, places such as Vegas are the first to scramble for relief. Those that have leveraged commercial property are the first to experience financial distress as their borrowing rate is all that much more than the residential rate. Indeed, even as interest rates plummeted over the past 2 years in a bid by the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy, mortgagees felt no relief as their cash flows dwindled and their capacity to maintain repayments evaporated.
Certainly, a large factor in all commercial investments is the incidence of a change in cash flow, yet when a commercial short sale in Las Vegas presents itself, the cash flow will require close scrutiny for authenticity, as the spending habits of tourists in the Las Vegas have a distinct seasonal flavor about them. If indeed a discounted cash flow still enables a healthy maintenance of the funding rate, the short sale may present an astute investment. Particularly as commercial short sales in economically sensitive areas are often said to lag behind the economy with other lagging indicators such as unemployment, the shorts sale that holds its own with a mortgage repayment of commercial proportions is probably worth closer inspection.
Similar to when economic conditions flail with uncertainty, when economic growth regains momentum, investment in demand hotspots such as Las Vegas is insurmountable with commercial property values escalating in tandem with the rents.
